Betting tips for Western Conference finals: Warriors-Mavericks Game 4
All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
What you need to know for Game 4
Luka on the glass: Golden State has rendered Dwight Powell largely ineffective in this series and Dallas has gone small in most lineups, resulting in some serious rebounding volume for Luka Doncic. Doncic has averaged a team-high 15 potential rebounds through three games and grabbed 11 boards in Game 3, evidence he is in a good spot to hit his rebounding prop (9.5) Tuesday night. Reggie Bullock is also likely to approach 40 minutes and hit his rebounding prop with plenty of exposure at power forward.
Looney on the loose: Kevon Looney has pulled down a series-high 29 boards and averaged a series-best 15.7 rebounding chances. His rebounding prop also sits at 9.5, a clip he’s easily achieved over the past two games.
Early Dallas lean?: The Warriors have largely handled business in this series, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t angles for the Mavs to exploit in Game 4. Golden State has been outscored by 22 points in first quarters, including a -15 mark when they attempted eliminate the Grizzlies last round. Dallas was +13 in the two first quarters facing elimination against Phoenix, further supporting a potential bounce-back game tonight.
— Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
9:00 p.m ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Line: Mavericks (-1)
Money line: Mavericks (-115), Warriors (-105)
Total: 215.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 228.1 points
BPI Win%: Warriors (50.2%)
Ruled out: Gary Payton II (elbow)
Note: BPI numbers factor in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Doubtful: Otto Porter Jr. (foot)
Notable: The Warriors are 18-11-1 ATS in the Western Conference finals in the Stephen Curry era (3-0 in this series). Nine of the past 12 Western Conference finals games the Warriors have played have gone under the total.
Best bet: Andrew Wiggins over 24.5 points + assists + rebounds. Wiggins has made plays on both ends of the floor to help the Warriors go up 3-0 against the Mavericks. Dallas has overloaded on defense to stop Curry and Klay Thompson, allowing Wiggins to exploit the mismatches. He has averaged 20.7 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 3.7 APG over the past three games of this series. — Eric Moody
Best bet: Luka Doncic over 51.5 points + assists + rebounds. The Warriors continue to throw different defensive looks at Doncic to tire him out and reduce his efficiency. He has averaged 34.0 PPG and 21.3 FGA, but is shooting 45.3% from the field. Doncic should continue to see heavy usage tonight with Dallas facing elimination. — Moody
Best bet: Klay Thompson over 2.5 3-point field goals. Thompson has only averaged 6.0 3PA and 1.7 3PM so far this series. Wiggins’ breakout in Game 3 could force the Mavericks to shift their focus defensively, giving Thompson the opportunity to have an excellent game from beyond the arc. — Moody
Best bet: Stephen Curry over 5.5 assists. Curry had 11 assists in Game 3 and has averaged 6.7 APG during the series. With Dallas likely focused on stopping Curry from scoring, he could factor in more as a distributor in Game 4. — Moody
Best bet: Under 215.5 points. The Mavs play better defense and at a slower pace at home, leading to lower scores. Opponents have averaged 95.7 PPG at American Airlines Center this postseason, and the average total has been 200.3 PPG. The Warriors scored 109 points in Dallas in Game 3, but have only averaged 101.7 PPG in road games over the past two rounds. — Andre Snellings
Best bet: Spencer Dinwiddie over 13.5 points. Dinwiddie has had an up-and-down postseason run as a scorer, which makes him challenging to predict. He’s scored at least 15 points in four of seven home playoff games and scored at least 17 points in two of the first three games of this series. Dinwiddie has averaged 21.3 PPG in the three elimination games Dallas has played this postseason. He could have a big game in store Tuesday night. — Snellings
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