Theresa May would stay in power if an election was held, poll shows

Theresa May’s Tories would stay in power and win enough seats for a working majority if a general election was held today, YouGov poll suggests

  • Theresa May would stay in power if an election was held today, a new poll finds
  • YouGov predicts the Tories would gain four seats while Labour would lose 12
  • With such a result, the Tories would then have just enough for a working majority

Theresa May would stay in power and win more seats if a general election was held today, a new poll shows.

Labour’s push for an election would backfire because the Tories would win a working majority despite Brexit chaos, the research suggests.

According to YouGov modelling that correctly predicted the 2017 hung parliament, Jeremy Corbyn’s party would lose 12 seats and the Tories would gain four.

Theresa May would stay in power and win more seats if a general election was held today, a new poll shows. The figures will be a blow for Mr Corbyn, who earlier this month repeated his calls for a general election [File photo]

Such a result would take the Tories from 317 seats at the last general election to 321 – just enough for a working majority. Labour would drop from 262 to 250 seats. 

The poll shows that the Lib Dems would gain four seats, giving them a total of 16. The SNP would also see their numbers increase by four, according to the research conducted for The Times.

There are 650 seats in the Commons but Sinn Fein’s seven MPs do not take their seats. The Speaker is also not counted.


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YouGov polled 40,119 adults between February 2 and 7. The results were combined with the demographics of individual constituencies in England, Wales and Scotland to work out how each seat would swing. 

The results do not take into account the effect of campaigning in an election.

The same approach was used for the 2017 election when a hung parliament was predicted. Most forecasts had predicted a substantial Tory majority.

According to YouGov modelling that correctly predicted the 2017 hung parliament, Jeremy Corbyn’s party would lose 12 seats and the Tories would gain four. Such a result would take the Tories from 317 seats at the last general election to 321 – just enough for a working majority [File photo]

The figures will be a blow for Mr Corbyn, who earlier this month repeated his calls for a general election.

Speaking in Glasgow while meeting organisations tackling poverty, the Labour leader said people suffering from austerity policies ‘need a general election now’.

A total of 321 seats for the Tories would increase Mrs May’s power but she would still struggle to push through Brexit policies. She could be thwarted by MPs on either side of her party.

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