What We Learned From Week 13 of the N.F.L. Season

The Indianapolis Colts held on for a crucial win over the Houston Texans, the Cleveland Browns shocked the Tennessee Titans and the New Orleans Saints won yet again. But none of the early games on Sunday could match the excitement of a wild matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Jets in which Gang Green managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Here’s what we learned:

You don’t get to 0-16 by making good decisions. After a fairly thrilling back-and-forth swing in a game that was expected to be a blowout victory for Las Vegas, the Jets appeared to have the game won. They were leading the Raiders by 28-24 with just 19 seconds remaining and, thanks to that 4-point lead, Las Vegas would need a 46-yard touchdown to win. There has rarely been a more obvious situation for an extreme prevent defense, but the Jets haven’t gone winless this far without a fair amount of questionable decisions.

With Las Vegas throwing deep, the Jets put only three players in coverage — with one defender inexplicably left as a spy in case quarterback Derek Carr tried to run. Cornerback Lamar Jackson tried to stick with rookie wide receiver Henry Ruggs III in man coverage, got beaten badly with a double move, and let the outrageously fast Ruggs run right past him for what ended up being a 46-yard touchdown pass and a 31-28 win for the Raiders.

The Jets became just the 12th team to start a season 0-12 and are well on their way to joining the 1960 Dallas Cowboys (0-11-1), the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-14), the 2008 Detroit Lions (0-16) and the 2017 Cleveland Browns (0-16) as the only N.F.L. teams since 1944 to go winless for an entire season not shortened by a strike. To avoid that fate, the Jets will need a win against one of four fairly good teams: the Seahawks, the Rams, the Browns and the Patriots.

Derek Carr's game-winning 46-yard TD pass to Henry Ruggs traveled 53.9 yards of air distance, Carr's 2nd-longest completion this season.

The Jets sent an all-out blitz, however none of their eight pass rushers were able to get pressure on Carr.#LVvsNYJ | #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/rUVJ9TQ8om

Baker Mayfield is confusing. In an eight-game stretch that began in Week 3, Mayfield was held to fewer than 200 yards passing five times and without a touchdown three times, yet the Browns still managed to go 6-2 thanks to his team’s running game and its defense. Just to shake things up, that stretch also included a 297-yard, five-touchdown performance against Cincinnati. In last week’s win over Jacksonville, Mayfield showed a spike in efficiency, and this week that surge continued as he exploded for 334 yards passing and four touchdowns in a 41-35 win on the road over the heavily favored Tennessee Titans.

But even in what amounts to Cleveland’s most impressive win of a 9-3 season, Mayfield managed to be wildly inconsistent. All four of his touchdowns came in a shocking first half in which Cleveland took a 38-7 lead before the Browns were outplayed and outscored by 32-3 in the second half. Cleveland has its best 12-game start since 1994, but the Browns seemingly have no idea what they can expect from Mayfield once the playoffs roll around.

Nothing erases a mistake quite like a safety. The Colts were clinging to a 4-point lead over the Texans in the fourth quarter when they turned the ball over on downs at Houston’s 5-yard line. The game seemed to be slipping away from Indianapolis, but DeForest Buckner of the Colts sacked Houston’s Deshaun Watson for a 1-yard loss and two plays later linebacker Justin Houston burst into the backfield to sack Watson for a safety. That increased the Colts’ lead to 6 points and gave the Colts the ball back. Indianapolis held on for a 26-20 victory.

The Vikings, meanwhile, were leading the Jaguars by 19-16 in the fourth quarter when quarterback Kirk Cousins fumbled at Jacksonville’s 4-yard line. On the third play of Jacksonville’s ensuing drive, Minnesota defensive ends Ifeadi Odenigbo and Jordan Brailford wrapped up Mike Glennon for a safety that extended the Vikings’ lead to 5 points. Minnesota needed overtime to hang on for a 27-24 victory, but they never would have made it that far without the safety.

The Saints barely miss a beat without Drew Brees. There is no question that New Orleans has a more prolific offense with Brees under center, but the team has become far less dependent on the future Hall of Famer over the last two seasons. From 2006, his first year with the Saints, to 2018, Brees missed just three starts and the Saints lost all three games. Over the last two seasons, Brees has missed eight starts — and counting — and New Orleans is 8-0 in those games. Teddy Bridgewater went 5-0 as a fill-in last year and Taysom Hill, who threw for 232 yards and ran for 83 in a 21-16 win over Atlanta on Sunday, is 3-0 this season.

A new coach can be a wonderful thing. In their first game under interim head coach Darrell Bevell, the Detroit Lions faced the fairly stout Chicago Bears’ defense and came away with a 34-30 win on the road that included a season-best 460 yards of total offense. Quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 402 yards and three touchdowns, and in the final two minutes led his fourth game-winning drive of the season and the 38th of his career. The win gave Detroit some revenge for an epic collapse against Chicago in Week 1, but the Lions are likely to get a much stiffer test from Green Bay next week.

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